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This week in Bunce: \ud83d\ude82 \ud83d\udcb0\ufe0fHow to get 100% off long-distance train travel \ud83c\udfd8\ufe0f \ud83e\udd11The UK\u2019s cheapest cities \ud83c\udde8\ud83c\uddf3 \ud83d\udcb4The Chinese govt pays students to come home But enough idle talk\u2014to business. Let me tell you\u2026 How I got 100% off my train travel In 2023, I found a way to get 100% off my long-distance train travel between London and Carlisle. All because the trains were delayed. I deserved nothing less. UK rail prices are the (https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/train-fares-tickets-expensive-uk-europe-great-western-railway-b1198888.html?utm_source=readbunce.com&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=how-i-got-100-off-my-train-travel#:~:text=Train%20operators%20serving%20the%20UK,%26%20Environment%20(T%26E)%20found.) highest in Europe, but roughly (https://dataportal.orr.gov.uk/popular-statistics/how-many-trains-arrive-on-time/?utm_source=readbunce.com&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=how-i-got-100-off-my-train-travel) 40% of trains are late. Even after I bought a railcard, split my ticket and got off at cheaper stations, I was forking out close to \u00a3100 six times a year for the luxury of travelling 8 hours on a journey that should take 4. Then it hit me: train companies reimburse customers for every delayed train . Avanti West Coast offers customers: 15 minutes \u2014 25% off 30 minutes \u2014 50% off 1 hour + \u2014 100% off For. Every. Delay. I wouldn\u2019t pay a penny if I could predict when trains would be disrupted. The question was then, how could I predict whether a train would be delayed? Let me introduce you to my\u2026 Train Delay Prediction Paradigm (TDPP) There are three essential ingredients to the TDPP: Strike action Strike action leads to staff shortages. This means fewer drivers, staff, and maintenance workers. RMT has to notify the public two weeks before they plan to strike. There is usually a (https://eastsuffolklines.co.uk/severe-disruption-if-rail-strikes-go-ahead?utm_source=readbunce.com&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=how-i-got-100-off-my-train-travel) knock-on effect lasting several days, before and after. Planned engineering works This is the icing on the cake, particularly if there\u2019s strike action. Trains are sometimes deliberately delayed to allow the engineers to do their work. You can monitor these (https://www.nationalrail.co.uk/status-and-disruptions/?utm_source=readbunce.com&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=how-i-got-100-off-my-train-travel) online in real time. Extreme weather For a bonus ball, combine planned engineering works and strike action with winter weather \u2014your train will be delayed, no question about it, e.g., trains are usually (https://www.timeout.com/uk/news/uk-snow-november-2024-all-the-train-disruptions-and-weather-warnings-you-need-to-know-111924?utm_source=readbunce.com&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=how-i-got-100-off-my-train-travel) delayed when it snows. Certain stations are more likely to experience delays too. National Rail now (https://dataportal.orr.gov.uk/performance?utm_source=readbunce.com&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=how-i-got-100-off-my-train-travel) publishes the data in real time, the madmen. Add spice by considering the impact of the Christmas holidays, football games, and peak travel times. I started monitoring these risks. \u2705 I chose specific days when I knew there would be strikes , using the RMT\u2019s website to select the right days. \u2705 I tried to align strike-affected days with planned engineering works along the London-Glasgow route. \u2705 I checked for floods, snow, and all manners of ill weather . And tried to align my travel with peak festive season times. The magic happens when these factors all come together. I.E f the baseline chance of delay is 10%, engineering works add 25%, strikes add 35%, and bad weather adds 20%, then when all these problems happen, there's a 90% chance your train will be delayed. The results With some anxiety, I booked my eye-wateringly expensive tickets. The journeys were delayed every time. Oh yes. I paid those parasitic Avanti vampires zero, zilch, nada, nothing \u2014I rode for free. All I had to do after was take a photo of my ticket, fill out an online form, and send it to Avanti. Sure, there were some pretty brutal \u2018all-dayers\u2019. But I\u2019d use them as an opportunity to get a load of work done, free from distractions. It was fun\u2014I felt like I was winning. And it was better than the alternatives: Hiding in the toilet from the ticket inspector Feigning deafness when he came Speaking passionately in Italian until someone took pity on me Crying Taking the ticket inspector aside and quietly but forcefully insinuating that I worked for Intelligence and the fate of England was in his hands. Et cetera. Only the TDPP would allow me to carry on my family name with honour. Final thoughts My advice: If you plan to do this, use it to get serious work done. Only do it for journeys of 3+ hours. Pack a sandwich (or 4) The system is shoddy\u2014if you\u2019re smart, you can make it pay for its mistakes. Well, well, well: what do we have here? RMT just (https://newsdesk.avantiwestcoast.co.uk/news/avanti-west-coast-issues-travel-advice-ahead-strike-action-on-sundays?utm_source=readbunce.com&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=how-i-got-100-off-my-train-travel) informed the public of planned strike action til May. I see planned (https://www.nationalrail.co.uk/status-and-disruptions/?utm_source=readbunce.com&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=how-i-got-100-off-my-train-travel) engineering works all along the line. I predict disruption. So what are you waiting for, you glorious beasts? Chinese government pays students to come home () The Chinese government (https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvgwwgl2nleo?utm_source=readbunce.com&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=how-i-got-100-off-my-train-travel) pays UK-based Chinese uni students money if they return to China. One student was allegedly offered between \u00a35,000-\u00a36,000 to return home. They offer several other well-documented incentives: Simplified startup registration Tax breaks Reduced costs for floor space Startup (https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/2212585X231211379?utm_source=readbunce.com&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=how-i-got-100-off-my-train-travel) investment Better (https://global.chinadaily.com.cn/a/201804/05/WS5ac55fc8a3105cdcf65165b7.html?utm_source=readbunce.com&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=how-i-got-100-off-my-train-travel) education for children Easier access to hukou (public services). No surprises, then, that (https://www.mk.co.kr/en/world/11193752?utm_source=readbunce.com&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=how-i-got-100-off-my-train-travel) increasing numbers of Chinese students are flocking home to the People\u2019s Republic. Time to learn Mandarin, you madmen. The UK\u2019s cheapest cities revealed () Aberdeen is the cheapest city in the UK, according to the property company Zoopla. The average house costs only \u00a3119,350. Compare that to London\u2019s least expensive borough, Havering, with its median house price of \u00a3306,480. What a joke. Closely following are: Liverpool (\u00a3130,800) Glasgow (\u00a3152,270) Sheffield (\u00a3156,990) Newcastle (\u00a3150,360). You know what that means: we head north! Someone took it a bit too seriously..... () Keep reading (/p/cutpurses) (Cutpurses) Cutpurses Dreams deferred by millennials as robots write their CVs (spelling mistakes now mandytory) Ed Wise / (/p/shoot-the-lights-out) (Shoot the lights out) Shoot the lights out UK watchdogs police collar bones as River Island faces up to high-street drought Ed Wise / (/p/knights) (Knights) Knights Robot pizza dogs roam the streets as ChatGPT seduces the UK government Ed Wise / View more (The free daily email on UK business, tech, and politics that you'll actually enjoy reading.) Bunce The free daily email on UK business, tech, and politics that you'll actually enjoy reading. 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All because the trains were delayed. I deserved nothing less. UK rail prices are the highest in Europe, but roughly 40% of trains are late.\u00a0\u00a0 Even after I bought a railcard, split my ticket and got off at cheaper stations, I was forking out close to \u00a3100 six times a year for the luxury of travelling 8 hours on a journey that should take 4.\u00a0 Then it hit me: train companies reimburse customers for every delayed train.\u00a0 Avanti West Coast offers customers:\u00a0 15 minutes \u2014 25% off 30 minutes \u2014 50% off 1 hour + \u2014 100% off For. Every. Delay.\u00a0 I wouldn\u2019t pay a penny if I could predict when trains would be disrupted. The question was then, how could I predict whether a train would be delayed?\u00a0 Let me introduce you to my\u2026\u00a0 Train Delay Prediction Paradigm (TDPP) There are three essential ingredients to the TDPP:\u00a0 Strike action Strike action leads to staff shortages. This means fewer drivers, staff, and maintenance workers. RMT has to notify the public two weeks before they plan to strike. There is usually a knock-on effect lasting several days, before and after.\u00a0 Planned engineering works\u00a0 This is the icing on the cake, particularly if there\u2019s strike action. Trains are sometimes deliberately delayed to allow the engineers to do their work. You can monitor these online in real time.\u00a0 Extreme weather For a bonus ball, combine planned engineering works and strike action with winter weather\u2014your train will be delayed, no question about it, e.g., trains are usually delayed when it snows.\u00a0 Certain stations are more likely to experience delays too. National Rail now publishes the data in real time, the madmen.\u00a0 Add spice by considering the impact of the Christmas holidays, football games, and peak travel times.\u00a0 I started monitoring these risks.\u00a0 \u2705 I chose specific days when I knew there would be strikes, using the RMT\u2019s website to select the right days.\u00a0 \u2705 I tried to align strike-affected days\u00a0with\u00a0planned engineering works along the London-Glasgow route.\u00a0 \u2705 I checked for floods, snow, and all manners of ill weather. And tried to align my travel with peak festive season times.\u00a0 The magic happens when these factors all come together. I.E f the baseline chance of delay is 10%, engineering works add 25%, strikes add 35%, and bad weather adds 20%, then when all these problems happen, there's a 90% chance your train will be delayed. The results With some anxiety, I booked my eye-wateringly expensive tickets.\u00a0 The journeys were delayed every time. Oh yes. I paid those parasitic Avanti vampires zero, zilch, nada, nothing\u2014I rode for free. All I had to do after was take a photo of my ticket, fill out an online form, and send it to Avanti. Sure, there were some pretty brutal \u2018all-dayers\u2019. But I\u2019d use them as an opportunity to get a load of work done, free from distractions. It was fun\u2014I felt like I was winning. And it was better than the alternatives: Hiding in the toilet from the ticket inspector\u00a0 Feigning deafness when he came Speaking passionately in Italian until someone took pity on me Crying Taking the ticket inspector aside and quietly but forcefully insinuating that I worked for Intelligence and the fate of England was in his hands. Et cetera.\u00a0 Only the TDPP would allow me to carry on my family name with honour. Final thoughts My advice:\u00a0 If you plan to do this, use it to get serious work done.\u00a0 Only do it for journeys of 3+ hours. Pack a sandwich (or 4) The system is shoddy\u2014if you\u2019re smart, you can make it pay for its mistakes.\u00a0 Well, well, well: what do we have here?\u00a0 RMT just informed the public of planned strike action til May.\u00a0 I see planned engineering works all along the line.\u00a0 I predict disruption.\u00a0 So what are you waiting for, you glorious beasts? Chinese government pays students to come home\u00a0 The Chinese government pays UK-based Chinese uni students money if they return to China. One student was allegedly offered between \u00a35,000-\u00a36,000 to return home.\u00a0 They offer several other well-documented incentives:\u00a0 Simplified startup registration Tax breaks Reduced costs for floor space Startup investment Better education for children Easier access to hukou (public services). No surprises, then, that increasing numbers of Chinese students are flocking home to the People\u2019s Republic.\u00a0 Time to learn Mandarin, you madmen.\u00a0 The UK\u2019s cheapest cities revealedAberdeen is the cheapest city in the UK, according to the property company Zoopla.\u00a0 The average house costs only \u00a3119,350. Compare that to London\u2019s least expensive borough, Havering, with its median house price of \u00a3306,480.\u00a0 What a joke.\u00a0 Closely following are: Liverpool (\u00a3130,800) Glasgow (\u00a3152,270) Sheffield (\u00a3156,990) Newcastle (\u00a3150,360).\u00a0 You know what that means: we head north! 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